In my house, we respect Haskins’ ground-game prowess.
ESPN’s Stephen A. Smith, a delightful guy who does not watch that much college football, said something incorrect about Dwayne Haskins on Friday:
In which Stephen A. Smith says that Dwayne Haskins is “more of a runner than a thrower.” pic.twitter.com/Gtowi8y0Pp
— Barrett Sallee (@BarrettSallee) February 8, 2019
During the segment, Stephen A. was comparing the two best QB prospects in the NFL Draft — Oklahoma’s Kyler Murray and Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins.
“He can make all the requisite throws on the NFL level,” Stephen A. said of Haskins, and things were going fine but then things went badly left when he added:
“He played for a big-time program at Ohio State. I just find him to be more of a runner than a thrower. I could be wrong about that, but that’s what I find.”
The commentator added:
Haskins is bigtime. I know this. And I’m not saying he CAN’T pass. But I view him the way I view him. Just an eye-test thing. Im not talking statistically. Make of it what you will. https://t.co/9u6GZxnuYg
— Stephen A Smith (@stephenasmith) February 8, 2019
We don’t have to spend much time parsing whether it’s true that Haskins is more of a runner than a thrower, because he is not.
He just had the best passing season in Big Ten history. He made dozens of throws 90-plus percent of college QBs could not make in their wildest fantasies. Let’s move along.
But Haskins is, in fact, a decent running quarterback.
One of his teammates said, maybe half-jokingly:
WHAT!? If Dwayne slow a$$ was a running QB we would have been 1-13 instead of 13-1 https://t.co/bLcnGvAO0F
— Dre’Mont Jones (@TheOfficial_80) February 8, 2019
In an effort to immediately extinguish Stephen A.’s bad take, some rushed for the most powerful hose they could think of: Haskins’ career rushing totals.
And, wow, those totals aren’t good: 103 carries for 194 yards, or 1.9 per carry, with four touchdowns in two seasons of action (one as the starter).
For his career, Dwayne Haskins averaged rushing 1.9 yards per carry and 8.81 yards per [email protected]
— Benjamin Allbright (@AllbrightNFL) February 8, 2019
But that’s a misleading line, because the NCAA absurdly insists upon counting sack yardage against QBs’ rushing totals. There’s no good reason for sacks to count against rushes, because by definition, sacks happen on passing plays. When QBs run for negative yards on actual running plays, official scorers count those as rushing yards, because it’s not that hard to tell whether a QB was trying to throw or not. Yet for reasons unbeknownst to me, college football’s governing body thinks bad passing plays should count against rushing stats.
Haskins’ real rushing line in 2018: 59 carries for 215 yards (a 3.6-yard average) and four TDs.
He took 20 sacks for a loss of 104 yards over the course of the season. So, to some commoner, Haskins’ rushing stats might say 79 carries for 108 yards.
I am not here to argue Haskins is a great running QB. But his recorded line for 2018 says he averaged 1.4 yards per carry, which is quite literally in sub-Peyton Manning territory. The NFL’s most famous statue averaged 1.5 yards per rush, without sacks included, over 17 seasons. Tom Brady’s averaged 1.7. Haskins is a more fluid, powerful runner than both.
So I’m hopeful that Stephen A. getting Haskins so wrong won’t feed a narrative of him being bad at running, because he’s just fine at it for a big QB whose best value is in throwing.
In reality, Haskins will probably be middling as an NFL running QB.
The easiest comparison is to a young Ben Roethlisberger, whose 6’5 frame makes him just a little bigger than Haskins at a listed 6’3. When Roethlisberger would run early in his career, it was ugly but, sometimes, undeniably effective. He averaged between 3 and 6 yards per carry in four different seasons from 2006-10, twice going over the 5-yard mark. The average NFL rush for players at all positions hovered just above 4 those years.
Running’s been a decent supplement to Roethlisberger’s game even as he’s gotten older and slower. He runs for a touchdown or two most seasons (19 for his career) and has averaged 2.9 yards per run (and about two runs per game) over 15 seasons. Roethlisberger averaged 1.7 rushing yards with sacks included in his last college season.
In 2018, 45 NFL QBs had at least 10 rushing attempts. The median yards-per-attempt figure was Alex Smith at 4.1. Depending on how a team uses Haskins, he’ll fall somewhere around there, I’m guessing. You can call designed runs for him, and sometimes, they will work:
That was Haskins’ third rushing TD of an overtime win at Maryland in 2018, when he had a career-high 63 non-sack rushing yards on 14 carries.
Haskins is a former four-star recruit who makes smart reads and has a good bit of athleticism to him, so expect him to use his legs some in the NFL.
Just expect him to throw, I don’t know, 30ish more times per game than he runs, and expect that to be the best idea for everyone.
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