Goldman: November Payrolls Preview

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A few brief excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economist Spencer Hill:

We estimate nonfarm payrolls increased 185k in November … Our forecast reflects a 15-25k drag from winter storms, and given rising jobless claims and tighter financial conditions, the underlying pace of job growth may have also slowed somewhat. …

We expect the unemployment rate to remain at 3.7% in tomorrow’s report … We estimate average hourly earnings increased 0.3% month over month, with the year-over-year rate moving to a cycle high of 3.2%
emphasis added

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